Ekonometryczne modelowanie gospodarki narodowej

• Autorzy: Władysław Welfe

Warianty tytułu

Econometric Macromodelling of National Economy

• Języki publikacji: PL

Abstrakty

Modelowanie makroekonometryczne już w chwili swojego powstania w latach 30. XX w. wyraźnie odróżniało się od pozostałych obszarów badań. Po około 50 latach burzliwego rozwoju stało się odrębną subdyscypliną naukową. Symboliczne znaczenie mają dwie daty: 1969 r., kiedy Janowi Tinbergenowi przyznano (po raz pierwszy w dziedzinie ekonomii) Nagrodę im. Alfreda Nobla, oraz 1980 r., gdy tę nagrodę otrzymał Lawrence R. Klein. Ostatnie trzy dekady przyniosły dalsze odkrycia, które zaowocowały powstaniem nowych klas makromodeli (SVAR, VEC, DSGE). Makromodelowanie nadal jest bardzo interesującym polem badawczym. Można mieć pewność, że następne lata przyniosą nowe osiągnięcia z tego zakresu. (abstrakt oryginalny)

EN

Macroeconometric modelling stood out among other areas of research as early as in the 1930s, i.e. at the moment of its inception, and following 50 years of turbulent development it became a separate sub-branch of science. There are two dates of symbolic value in this respect: 1969, when Jan Tinbergen was awarded the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences (the first such prize to be granted), and 1980, when the same prize was awarded to Lawrence R. Klein. The last three decades have engendered novel ideas, which resulted in the creation of new classes of macro-models, such as SVAR, VEC or DSGE. Macromodelling remains a highly interesting field of research. Without a doubt the years to come will bring new advances in this domain. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

PL

Gospodarka narodowa; Modelowanie ekonometryczne; Modele gospodarki narodowej

EN

National economy; Econometric modeling; Models of national economies

• Czasopismo: Bank i Kredyt
• Rocznik: 2013
• Numer: nr 1
• Strony: 1--31

Twórcy

autor

Władysław Welfe

• Uniwersytet Łódzki

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