Terms of trade i wzrost gospodarczy w Polsce w okresie 1980-2009

• Autorzy: Piotr Misztal

Warianty tytułu

Terms of Trade and Economic Growth in Poland in the Period 1980-2009

• Języki publikacji: PL

Abstrakty

Celem artykułu jest analiza oddziaływania zmian cenowych terms of trade i zmienności terms of trade na wzrost gospodarczy w Polsce w okresie 1980-2009. Wyniki badań przeprowadzonych za pomocą modelu wektorowej autoregresji (VAR) ujawniły, że poprawa cenowych terms of trade w Polsce prowadziła do wzrostu dynamiki PKB per capita, zaś wzrost zmienności cenowych terms of trade przyczyniał się do zmniejszenia tempa wzrostu PKB na mieszkańca w Polsce. Ponadto potwierdzono stosunkowo większe oddziaływanie zmian cenowych terms of trade niż zmienności terms of trade na dynamikę wzrostu gospodarczego w Polsce. Wykazano również, że zmiana cenowych terms of trade i zmienność terms of trade wyjaśniały w zbliżonym stopniu zmienność PKB per capita w Polsce w okresie 1980-2009. (abstrakt oryginalny)

EN

This article aims to analyze the impact of changes in terms of trade and terms of trade volatility on economic growth in Poland in the period 1980-2009. The results of tests using the vector autoregressive model (VAR) revealed that improved terms of trade in Poland led to increased dynamics of GDP per capita, while the increase in terms of trade volatility reduced the growth rate of GDP per capita in Poland. In addition, there was confirmed the greater impact of changes in terms of trade, than the terms of trade volatility on the dynamics of economic growth in Poland. It was also demonstrated that the change in terms of trade and volatility of terms of trade, explained in a similar degree the variation of GDP per capita in Poland in the period 1980-2009. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

PL

Terms of trade; Wzrost gospodarczy; Model wektorowej autoregresji

EN

Terms of trade; Economic growth; Vector Autoregression Model (VAR)

• Czasopismo: Studia i Materiały / Wydział Zarządzania. Uniwersytet Warszawski
• Rocznik: 2012
• Numer: nr 1-2
• Strony: 16--24

Twórcy

autor

Piotr Misztal

• Uniwersytet Technologiczno-Humanistyczny w Radomiu

Bibliografia

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