What Affects Voter Turnout? Macro and Micro Evidence from Poland

• Autorzy: Adam Pigoń

Warianty tytułu

Co wpływa na frekwencję wyborczą? Mikro i makroekonomiczna analiza empiryczna

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The aim of this paper is to discuss briefly the issue of voter turnout and ascertain what kind of socioeconomic variables can affect it. The main body of the article is devoted to the search for empirical findings on the basis of the Polish presidential and parliamentary elections in 2010 and 2011 respectively. The central analysis is conducted using OLS regressions on NTS4 areas (powiat) with the utmost importance attached to the role of socioeconomic variables and especially to the role of adversities such as unemployment and other features of the labor market. Furthermore, the logit model has been built on individual data in order to corroborate (or debunk) findings derived from macro regressions. Although it was not the main intention to study in detail the theory of various turnout models it seemed instructive to sketch them along with stylized facts regarding the phenomenon of voting. (original abstract)

Celem artykułu jest ustalenie roli czynników społeczno-ekonomicznych wpływajacych na kształtowanie sie frekwencji wyborczej ze szczególnym uwzglednieniem roli bezrobocia i innych zmiennych zwiazanych z rynkiem pracy. W pracy podjeta została próba skonfrontowania wyników badan w Polsce z wynikami uzyskanymi w krajach o dłuzszej tradycji demokratycznej. Dodatkowo, podjeta została próba odpowiedzi na pytanie jakie koncepcje teoretyczne wyjasniajace powstawanie niezerowej frekwencji wyborczej moga sprawdzac sie w Polsce. Empiryczna czesc artykułu opiera sie o ekonometryczny model liniowy stworzony na danych pochodzacych ze wszystkich polskich powiatów dla zmiennej objasnianej jaka sa frekwencje w wyborach parlamentarnych w 2011 oraz dwóch turach wyborów prezydenckich w 2010 roku. Drugim modelem empirycznym jest model logitowy oparty na danych pochodzacych z ankiety "Polskie Studium Wyborcze", w której ankietowani deklarowali udział w wymienioncyh wyborach. (abstrakt oryginalny)

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Parliamentary election; Unemployment; Voting decisions

PL

Wybory parlamentarne; Bezrobocie; Decyzje wyborcze

• Czasopismo: Roczniki Kolegium Analiz Ekonomicznych / Szkoła Główna Handlowa
• Rocznik: 2013
• Numer: nr 32 Mechanism design and related topics
• Strony: 77--105

Twórcy

autor

Adam Pigoń

• Warsaw School of Economics, Poland

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