Pomiar dyspersji wieku w momencie zgonu. Przyczynek do analizy kompresji umieralności w Polsce

• Autorzy: Wiktoria Wróblewska

Warianty tytułu

Life-Table Dispersion Measures. A Contribution to the Analysis of Mortality Compression in Poland

• Języki publikacji: PL

Abstrakty

Zachodzące zmiany w umieralności według wieku oraz systematycznie notowane wydłużanie trwania życia w krajach zachodnich w drugiej połowie XX wieku spowodowało zainteresowanie demografów szerszym pomiarem zachodzących procesów. (...) Celem artykułu jest zaprezentowanie miar stosowanych w analizie zróżnicowania wieku w momencie zgonu wyznaczanych na podstawie tablic trwania życia oraz ich oszacowanie i analiza dla Polski w odniesieniu do procesu kompresji umieralności. Analizą objęto następujące miary i wskaźniki: krzywą Lorenza i współczynnik koncentracji, absolutny wskaźnik koncentracji (AID), normalne trwanie życia (M), odchylenie standardowe powyżej modalnej (SD(M+)), rozstęp kwartylowy (IQR), utracone lata życia, wskaźnik entropii tablic trwania życia (Keyfiz H). Do analizy empirycznej wykorzystano przekrojowe tablice trwania życia dla Polski dla lat 1958-2014 pochodzące z międzynarodowej bazy danych The Human Mortality Database (HMD) opracowanej przez Departament Demografii Uniwersytetu w Kalifornii, Berkeley (USA) oraz Instytut Maxa Plancka Badań Demograficznych w Rostoku (MPIDR, Niemcy). (fragmenty tekstu)

EN

The article presents the life-table dispersion measures and analysis results for Poland with special regard to the process of mortality compression. The following measures were analysed: Gini coefficient, average inter-individual difference in age at death, modal age at death, inter-quartile range, standard deviation above the modal age at death, person-years lost (e-dagger) and index of mortality entropy. The empirical analysis employed data for the years 1958-2014 derived from the Human Mortality Database (HMD). The observed tendency towards reduction in the dispersion of age at death was not uniform during the 50 year span analysed and actually stagnated in certain periods. In particular, the results for the male population do not indicate a definite trend towards reduction in mortality dispersion. The results for the female population demonstrate a reduction in age dispersion at death among women over time with regard to all measures, with the modal age at death advancing towards progressively older age groups. The dispersion measures utilised in this study and the results can be used in further research on mortality compression in Poland. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

PL

Statystyka umieralności; Struktura umieralności; Współczynnik Giniego

EN

Mortality statistics; Structure of mortality; Gini coefficient

• Czasopismo: Studia Demograficzne
• Rocznik: 2017
• Numer: nr 1(171)
• Strony: 3--25

Twórcy

autor

Wiktoria Wróblewska

• Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie

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