Szanse i zagrożenia dla Irlandii Północnej po referendum i decyzji Wielkiej Brytanii o wystąpieniu z Unii Europejskiej

• Autorzy: Ewa Radomska

Warianty tytułu

Opportunities and Threats for Northern Ireland after the EU Referendum in the United Kingdom

• Języki publikacji: PL

Abstrakty

W części pierwszej przedstawiono kształtowanie się obecnej sceny politycznej w Irlandii Północnej z uwzględnieniem apelu republikanów o ogłoszenie referendum ws. zjednoczenia Irlandii Północnej i Republiki Irlandii oraz reakcji Republiki Irlandii i Wielkiej Brytanii. Poruszono także kwestię granicy brytyjsko-irlandzkiej. Część druga artykułu zawiera opis scenariuszy dla Irlandii Północnej - dwóch wariantów: wariantu I - zjednoczenia z Republiką Irlandii oraz wariantu II - pozostania w granicach Zjednoczonego Królestwa oraz potencjalnych skutków z nich wynikających. Generują one określone szanse i zagrożenia oraz wyzwania dla Irlandii Północnej w aspekcie jej dalszego rozwoju. Analiza opiera się na dostępnych publikacjach, w tym na wynikach badań i analiz ujętych w raportach różnych podmiotów i instytucji, m.in. HM Government, KLC Consulting, Ernst and Young, FDI Intelligence, Oxford Economies, The Northern Ireland Affairs Committee, specjalistów z London School of Economics and Political Sciences. Stanowią punkt wyjścia do dalszych badań i pogłębionych analiz.(fragment tekstu)

EN

The purpose of this article is to analyze the opportunities and threats for Northern Ireland after the EU referendum in United Kingdom. As a basis for the research method a study based on the analysis of selected information sources was used. The referendum on the United Kingdom's continuing membership of the European Union resulted in a victory for those wishing to leave the Union, and has become the impulse for discussions on the possible directions for future developments in Northern Ireland. There are two scenarios being considered: Northern Ireland remaining within the United Kingdom, but outside the European Union, leaving the United Kingdom and uniting with the Republic of Ireland, which would enable it to retain its membership of the European Union. A referendum on unifying Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, which is supported by republicans, is currently neither justified - the lack of sufficient support of the population, nor is it possible - as the proposition would be vetoed by the main unionist parties and by the government in London which is fully committed to maintaining the unity of the United Kingdom. If, however, the unification of Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland occurred, in addition to the enormous initial cost, it could instigate the threat of destabilisation of the political scene and rekindle conflicts between Catholic and Protestant groups. In the long term, uniting with the Republic of Ireland would enable Northern Ireland to maintain a strong developmental impulse arising from the benefits of being a member of the EU; such as access to the Single European Market, structural funds, etc., which the province may lose if it stays within the United Kingdom. The real effects on Northern Ireland will depend on the results of the negotiations and decisions reached by the United Kingdom and the European Union on the conditions on exiting the Union and the future directions, forms and principles for further co-operation. Its economic development is of fundamental significance for the future of Northern Ireland, including the peace process.(original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

PL

Integracja gospodarcza i polityczna Europy; Referendum; Stosunki międzynarodowe

EN

Economic and political integration of Europe; Referendum; International relations

• Czasopismo: Studia Europejskie / Centrum Europejskie Uniwersytetu Warszawskiego
• Rocznik: 2017
• Numer: nr 1
• Strony: 99--118

Twórcy

autor

Ewa Radomska

• Akademia Finansów i Biznesu Vistula w Warszawie

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