Ocena efektu Harbergera-Laursena-Metzlera w polskim sektorze rolno-żywnościowym

• Autorzy: Jacek Strojny

Warianty tytułu

An Assessment of Harberger-Laursen-Metzler Effekt in Agribusiness Sector in Poland

• Języki publikacji: PL

Abstrakty

W opracowaniu podjęto problem oszacowania efektu Harbergera-Laursena- Metzlera w odniesieniu do polskiego sektora rolno-żywnościowego. Analiza obejmuje lata 2002-2017. W badaniu zastosowano metodykę wektorowej autoregresji (VAR). Wyniki studium ukazały, że trwałe pogorszenie terms of trade wpływa na poprawę bilansu handlowego polskiego sektora rolno-żywnościowego. Natomiast nie zidentyfikowano skutków krótkookresowych szoków terms of trade. Dodatkowo, badanie umożliwiło zidentyfikowanie wartości dodanej brutto (GVA) jako najbardziej egzogenicznej składowej systemu VAR. Najbardziej endogenicznym czynnikiem w modelu okazało się saldo obrotów bieżących. Długookresowe zmiany terms of trade są czynnikiem bardziej egzogenicznym niż saldo obrotów bieżących. (abstrakt oryginalny)

EN

The aim of the study was to asses the Harberger-Laursen-Metzler effect in Polish agro-food sector. The analysis covers period of 2002-2017. There was applied the vector autoregression (VAR) methodology. The outcome of the research revealed that permanent deterioration in terms of trade contributed to the current account of Polish agribusiness sector improvement. The temporary effect of terms of trade shocks was not indentified. Additionally, the research enabled recognition of gross value added (GVA) as the most exogenous factor of the VAR system. On the other hand most endogenous factor of the model is the current account. The variable permanent terms of trade is more exogenous factor than the current account. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

PL

Rachunek obrotów bieżących; Sektor rolno-spożywczy; Model wektorowej autoregresji

EN

Current account; Agri-food sector; Vector Autoregression Model (VAR)

• Czasopismo: Roczniki Naukowe Ekonomii Rolnictwa i Rozwoju Obszarów Wiejskich
• Rocznik: 2019
• Tom: 106
• Numer: z. 1
• Strony: 36--50

Twórcy

autor

Jacek Strojny

• Uniwersytet Rolniczy im. Hugona Kołłątaja w Krakowie

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Identyfikatory

DOI

10.22630/RNR.2019.106.1.3