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2019 | 11 | nr 1 | 187--196
Tytuł artykułu

Multiple Breakpoint Test on Crude Oil Price

Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
The impact of structural changes as well as breaks on oil price fluctuations is studied in this article. There are a few channels, such as domestic prices and inflation, that cause the effect of oil price to pass through the economy. The higher crude oil price is immediately followed by the increase in oil products such as gasoline and heating oil. The direct effects continue as people choose alternative ener-gy sources, leading to the increase in price. Besides, the indirect effect on inflation as a result of the be-havioral responses of the firms and workers which is known as the "second round" effects in which higher wages is being demanded. This article uses exploratory data analysis to discover the patterns of the variables' series and then examines the relationship between oil price and consumer price index. Multiple breakpoint test is thereafter used to identify the structural changes in time-varying variables. (original abstract)
Rocznik
Tom
11
Numer
Strony
187--196
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • University of Malaya, Malaysia
  • Sultan Idris Educational University, Malaysia
  • University of Malaya, Malaysia
  • Sultan Azlan Shah University, Malaysia
Bibliografia
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  • Quandt, R., 1960. Test of the Hypothesis that a Linear Regression System Obeys two Separate Regime. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 55, pp.324-330.
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  • Thakor, M., 2015. How Falling Oil Prices Make a Black-Swan Event More Likely. The Wall Street Journal. [online] Available through: <https://blogs.wsj.com/experts/2015/01/08/how-falling-oil-prices-makes-a-black-swan-event-more-likely/> [Accessed on 2 January 2019].
  • Yuan, G., Li, X., 2010. A Modified Consumer Price Index. Modern Economy, 1, pp.112-117.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171575662

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