Czy wysoki poziom bezrobocia w Polsce można tłumaczyć występowaniem histerezy?

• Autorzy: Grzegorz Kuczyński

Warianty tytułu

Can high level of unemployment in Poland be explained by hysteresis?

• Języki publikacji: PL

Abstrakty

Zaprezentowano histerezę bezrobocia, która jest skutkiem zróżnicowania między "swoimi" - zatrudnionymi - oraz "obcymi" - osobami nie zatrudnionymi. W artykule w celu weryfikacji hipotezy o występowaniu zjawiska histerezy bezrobocia w Polsce, zastosowano panelowy test HEGY.

EN

According to theory proposed by Blanchard an Summers (1986) hysteresis may arise as a result of differences between "insiders" and "outsiders". Assuming that actions undertaken by unions are determined by past situation in labour market, the unemployment time series will contain unit root. In this paper, in order to verify the hysteresis hypothesis in Poland, the panel HEGY test [Otero, Smith, Giulietti, 2004] was applied. The results show that unit root hypothesis can not be rejected at zero frequency. This in turn can be considered as an evidence of hysteresis playing an important role in formation of unemployment in Poland. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

PL

Bezrobocie; Stopa bezrobocia; Rynek pracy; Badania naukowe; Histereza

EN

Unemployment; Unemployment rate; Labour market; Scientific research; Hysteresis

• Czasopismo: Prace i Materiały Wydziału Zarządzania Uniwersytetu Gdańskiego
• Rocznik: 2007
• Numer: nr 5
• Strony: 147--154

Twórcy

autor

Grzegorz Kuczyński

Bibliografia

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