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2023 | Multidimensional Data Modelling and Risk Analysis | 70--90
Tytuł artykułu

A Multivariate Functional Analysis of Mortality Trends in Europe

Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
ortality data provide information on the current demographic situation of the population and explain its demographic future. In addition to their role in demographic accounting, mortality data serve as important indicators of progress or of socio-economic and health problems. They provide an overview of pro- gress in one of the areas of greatest human concern - life expectancy and the prevention of premature death. Mortality data show consistent patterns of risk in specific populations and trends in specific causes of death over time. They are also sensitive indicators of differences within the population and can help to identify target groups for spe- cial programmes in health care and development. The analysis of trends is still important in the forecasting of mortality. The trends observed in the past will determine the method and the historical period to be used. A variety of mortality measures are commonly used to monitor trends and explore patterns within and between populations. There is a lack of a single per- spective for understanding and interpreting mortality trends. Primary measures are changes over time and absolute and relative differences between countries and groups (geographical, gender, ethnic, socio-economic). The analysis of the evolution of mortality in one or more populations in- volves a choice between a wide range of mortality indicators and a focus either on global mortality or on a specific component. The literature in this area is vast. In most cases, analysis of mortality trends is carried out with a focus on sum- mary measures (e.g. life expectancy at birth, life expectancy gap) [Vaupel, Zhang and van Raalte, 2011; van Raalte, Sasson and Martikainen, 2018; Amin and Steinmetz, 2019]. In other cases, researchers focus on specific components of mortality without considering the global pattern [Medford et al., 2019; Kan- nisto, 2001; Zanotto, Canudas-Romo and Mazzuco, 2020].However, there is little work that looks at mortality trends using a multidi- mensional approach. Research tends to focus on cluster analysis. Meslé, Vallin and Andreyev [2002] have already tested a clustering solution for several Euro- pean countries based on their age-specific probability of dying and have found significant differences in the life expectancies and age structures of eastern and western countries. Debón et al. [2017] grouped EU countries using fuzzy c-means cluster analysis of mortality surfaces, with similar results. Léger and Mazzuco [2021] used functional data analysis to identify the role played by all mortality components, and analyzed whether there were different patterns of mortality decline among low-mortality countries.(fragment of text)
Twórcy
  • Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Katowicach
Bibliografia
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  • Medford A., Christensen K., Skytthe A., Vaupel J.W. (2019), A Cohort Comparison of Lifespan after Age 100 in Denmark and Sweden: Are Only the Oldest Getting Older? "Demography", Vol. 56(2), pp. 665-677.
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Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
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